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中文摘要: 摘 要:目的:云南省属于洪涝灾害多发地区,但目前尚无该情景下疟疾再传播风险的相关研究报道,拟对云南省在 洪涝灾害情景下疟疾再传播风险开展评估,并提出针对性的应对建议,科学指导当地开展防止疟疾再传播工作。方法:收 集2022—2024年云南省疟疾疫情数据、媒介监测数据和国家防止疟疾再传播技术方案等资料构建数据库,对定量数据指标 以县人口数平均后等距划分为5类,定性数据参考文献赋予不同等级值,综合计算疟疾再传播风险指数,并结合实际综合评 估划定风险分层。结果:洪涝灾害情景下云南省疟疾再传播风险指数范围在1~100之间,平均值为11.55。通过优化分层标 准,云南省129个县(市、区)中疟疾再传播极高风险的有4个县,高风险6个县,中风险13个县,低风险106个县。结论: 云南省属于我国防止疟疾再传播的关键区域,洪涝灾害下的科学防控至关重要,必须针对不同的风险分层及时预警,提高监 测灵敏度,因地制宜采取针对性的防控措施,才能防止疟疾再传播,持续巩固消除疟疾成果。
Abstract:Abstract: OBJECTIVE Yunnan Province is an area prone to flood disasters.However,there is currently no relevant research report on the risk of malaria retransmission in this scenario.It aimed to assess the risk of malaria retransmission in Yunnan Province under flood disaster scenarios,and put forward targeted countermeasures and suggestions to scientifically guide thelocal work of preventing malaria retransmission.METHODS Collect data such as malaria epidemic data,vector surveillance data in Yunnan Province from 2022 to 2024, and national technical plans for preventing malaria re-transmision,etc.,to construct a database.For quantitative data indicators,after averaging according to the county population,they are eqully spaced and divided into 5 categories.For qualitative data,different grade values are assigned with reference to the literature.Comprehensively calculate the malaria retransmission risk index,and combine with the actual situation to comprehensively assess and delineate the risk stratification.RESULTS Under the flood disaster scenario,the malaria retransmission risk index in Yunnan Province ranges from 1 to 100,with an average value of 11.55.Through optimizing the stratification standard,among the 129 counties (cities,districts)in Yunnan Province,there are 4 counties with extremely high malaria retransmission risk,6 counties with high risk,13 counties with medium risk,and 106 counties with low risk.CONCLUSION Yunnan Province is a key region in China for preventing malaria retransmission.Scientific prevention and control under flood disasters is of vital importance. Timely early warnings must be given according to different risk stratifications,the sensitivity of surveillance should be improved,and targeted prevention and control measures should be taken according to local conditions to prevent malariaretransmission and continuously consolidate the achievements of malaria elimination.
文章编号:3202410012 中图分类号:R511.7 文献标志码:
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